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Introduction to Atlantic Salmon
Wild Atlantic salmon are found in over 400 rivers across the country (Fig. 1). This species has long been integral to Scotland’s culture and traditions, symbolising both natural heritage and economic significance. Wild salmon fishing, both in rivers and along the coast, is vital not only to the economy but also to rural communities in Scotland. Beyond their economic value, wild salmon are embedded in Scotland’s ecological and cultural identity, shaping the nation’s natural environment and human society (Ashley, 2019).
However, increased pressure on wild populations has led to a significant decline. In response, Scotland has become the largest producer of farmed Atlantic salmon in Europe and ranks third globally, following Norway and Chile (Best Fishes, n.d.). The farmed salmon sector supports an extensive supply chain across the UK, sustaining around 3,600 businesses and more than 4,300 jobs (Ashley, 2019). Despite the growth of farmed salmon, the population of wild Atlantic salmon has decreased by approximately 40% over the past 40 years, highlighting the challenges faced by wild populations (Scottish Government, 2021a).
Population Status & Trends
In 2023, the reported rod catch of wild Atlantic salmon totalled 32,477, marking the lowest figure since record-keeping began in 1952. This represents a 24% decline from 2022 and a 77% decrease compared to the previous five-year average (Scottish Government, 2024b). The overall trend in salmon catches from 1952 to 2023 (Fig. 2) highlights a troubling decline for the species without significant intervention.
In 2022, Atlantic salmon was classed as Near Threatened (Darwall, 2023). As numbers continue to decline annually in Scotland, this classification could worsen. Though the species is present in other countries around the world, the overall population is severely fragmented - putting the species further at risk.
Migratory Behaviour
Atlantic salmon begin their life in freshwater, hatching from eggs laid in gravel nests known as redds. Spawning typically occurs between October and February with most adults dying afterward, though a few may survive to spawn again. The young fish, called alevins, remain in the gravel until they absorb their yolk sac and emerge as fry, about 3 cm long. These fry develop into parr, which stay in the river for two to three years, depending on water temperature and food availability. Once they reach about 12 cm, parr transform into smolts, adapted for survival at sea. Smolts migrate to the ocean in late spring, where they grow into post-smolts. Some return after one year as grilse, weighing 2 to 3 kg, while others remain at sea for up to three years, returning as larger multi-sea-winter salmon (NatureScot, 2023).
Threats
Man-made Barriers
One of the most significant threats to Atlantic salmon populations across Europe is man-made barriers, such as dams and weirs. These barriers block essential migratory routes, preventing salmon from reaching their spawning grounds. The fragmentation caused by these barriers results in smaller populations, which are more vulnerable to interbreeding and a loss of genetic diversity, further heightening the risk of their decline. Fig. 3 shows the returning and spawning rates of salmon in Scotland, which have steadily decreased between 1971 and 2023. This downward trend emphasises the ongoing challenges faced by salmon populations to both spawn and return to the region.
Rising Temperatures and Climate Change
As a species adapted to cold water, salmon are particularly vulnerable to temperature fluctuations in rivers. Impacts of Climate Change such as warming oceans, the frequency and intensity of floods and droughts, rising sea levels, and ocean acidification disrupt key stages of their life cycle (NOAA, 2024). For example, unusually warm spawning conditions and high river flows in 2016 contributed to a notable decline in juvenile survival (Gregory et al, 2020). Rising sea temperatures are also forcing migration routes further north, creating additional challenges for southern populations such as those here in Scotland, which may struggle to adapt to the longer journeys required to find adequate feeding grounds (Mills & Sheehan, n.d.). In 2018, a particularly warm summer saw nearly 70% of Scotland’s rivers reach temperatures capable of causing stress to salmon, underscoring the urgency of mitigating these environmental impacts (Scottish Government, 2021b).
Offshore Development
The Scottish Government has set ambitious renewable energy targets such as achieving net-zero carbon emissions by 2045. They plan to acheive this through substantially increasing the use of renewable energy sources relative to non-renewable energy sources (Scottish Government, 2024a). The impacts of offshore energy developments, including oil and wind, add another layer of challenges for the wild Atlantic salmon, as the construction and presence of this infrastructure can disrupt their migration routes. Offshore wind projects, particularly those with export cables connecting to the mainland, often intersect with critical migratory pathways, potentially hindering their movement and survival (Lilly et al, 2024). This makes climate change a double-edged sword for the species, as it amplifies existing threats while introducing new ones.
Other threats to the species include increasing pollution, declining insect populations caused by infrastructure development, and growing concerns over the introduction of invasive non-native species pink salmon, which could outcompete the native population.
Future of Wild Atlantic Salmon in Scotland
To address the threats facing wild Atlantic salmon, the Scottish Government has developed the ‘Wild Salmon Strategy’ which focuses on tackling the various pressures on the species across rivers, coastal areas and the open sea. The Strategy Implementation Plan for 2023-2028 outlines the collective actions required from government bodies, businesses, and charitable sectors to support conservation efforts (Scottish Government, 2023)
Key initiatives include:
Despite these efforts, the future of Atlantic salmon remains uncertain. Continued pressure from environmental and human-induced factors poses significant challenges, making sustained and adaptive conservation critical for their survival.
Figure 1: (Marine Scotland) Scottish Salmon Rivers
Figure 2: Total number of wild salmon caught annually between 1952-2023. Created by George Trantham using Scottish Salmon Fishery Statistics 2023 (Scottish Government, 2024b).
Figure 3: Number of spawning and returning salmon in Scotland 1971-2023. Created by George Trantham using Scottish Salmon Fishery Statistics 2023 (Scottish Government, 2024b).
Ashley (2019) SPICe Briefing: Wild Salmon
Best Fishes (n.d.) Scottish Salmon Farming
Darwall (2023) IUCN Red List of Threatened Species: Salmo salar
NatureScot (2023) Atlantic salmon
NOAA Fisheries (2024) Climate Change Escalates Threats to Species in the Spotlight
Scottish Government (2021a) Conserving wild salmon
Scottish Government (2021b) Scotland River Temperature Monitoring Network (SRTMN)
Scottish Government (2023) Wild Salmon Strategy: Implementation Plan 2023 to 2028
Scottish Government (2024a) Offshore Wind - Diadromous Fish. Review - January 2024
Scottish Government (2024b) Scottish Salmon and Sea Trout Fishery Statistics 2023.
Live - Next review due 12/03/2026
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E-mail: ian.hay@stateofthecoast.scot
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